League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Stevenage

Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Stevenage

While Burton Albion will hope to build on their midweek cup win with home advantage, we can only see the two sides' league runs continuing on Saturday and tip Steve Evans's side to further strengthen their position in the leading pack with a victory at the Pirelli Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Stevenage
28.54% ( 0)	26.19% ( 0)	45.27%

Both teams to score 51.03% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89% (

53.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31% (

74.69% (

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61% (

33.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99% (

70.01%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

23.39% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

57.37% (

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 28.54%

Stevenage 45.27%

Draw 26.18%

Burton Albion	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.54%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.38% 0-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.27%