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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
18.28% ( 0) | 23.22% ( -0) | 58.5% |
Both teams to score 48.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.03% ( 0) | 50.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.16% | 72.84% |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.14% ( 0) | 41.86% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.69% ( 0) | 78.31% ( -0) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( 0) | 17.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.63% ( 0) | 47.37% |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 6.25% 2-1 @ 4.8% 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 12.65% 0-2 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 5.71% 0-4 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |