League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Taylor (71'), Kaikai (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Omochere (77')
Dolan (16'), Heneghan (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackburn 5-2 Cambridge
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-3 Derby
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town

With just a nine-point gap between the sides, this is a crucial game for both sides, and nerves may be on show. However, we cannot ignore that Cambridge's home advantage could prove key, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
46.01% ( 0.02)	25.17% ( 0)	28.82% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.4% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

-0.02)

48.8% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

-0.02)

70.9% (

0.02)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

-0)

21.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

54.13% (

-0)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06% (

-0.02)

30.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77% (

-0.03)

67.23% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 46%

Fleetwood Town 28.82%

Draw 25.17%

Cambridge United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 46%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.82%