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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Cambridge United

Blackburn
5 - 2
Cambridge

Szmodics (23', 37', 45+3'), Sigurdsson (66'), Leonard (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Lankester (6'), Kaikai (26')
Bennett (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Cambridge United

Given Blackburn's most recent form, Cambridge will fancy their chances of causing an upset at Ewood Park. However, despite their frailties, Blackburn have plenty of quality in attack, leading us to predict a home victory with something to spare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCambridge United
52.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 22.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)64.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)16.03% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.36% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 52.19%
    Cambridge United 24.92%
    Draw 22.89%
Blackburn RoversDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.19%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cambridge

Blackburn Rovers
81.1%
Draw
8.1%
Cambridge United
10.8%
37
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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