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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (24')
Thomason (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradbury (45'), Clarke (46'), Harrop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Cheltenham Town

 Saturday's test will certainly not be an easy one for Bolton, with Cheltenham Town looking a completely new side and marching towards safety under Clarke, but the hosts do still boast far more quality throughout their squad and should have what it takes to get over the line on home turf and make it five straight three-point hauls in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
64.95% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01) 19.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 15.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (-0.067 -0.07)40.2% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)11.64% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)36.67% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)38.86% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.95%
    Cheltenham Town 15.46%
    Draw 19.59%
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 64.95%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.46%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cheltenham

Bolton Wanderers
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Cheltenham Town
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cheltenham
0-3
Bolton

Davies (29'), Smith (39')
Charles (15', 33'), Smith (30' og.)
Ross Evatt (30'), Adeboyejo (57')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-0
Cheltenham
Dempsey (80')
> Preview
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Bolton
Broom (87')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cheltenham
1-2
Bolton
Ramsey (89')
Lloyd (52'), Bonds (72')
Sadlier (57'), Bakayoko (76' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
2-2
Cheltenham
Amaechi (26'), Kachunga (58')
Thomason (30')
May (14', 45+4')
Crowley (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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