EFL Trophy | Second Round

Nov 22, 2022 at 7pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 2
Charlton

Cosgrove (13'), Ennis (15'), Roberts (46')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kanu (8'), Anderson (90+2')
Henry (11')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Plymouth Argyle and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton Athletic are the more in-form side coming into this one, but Plymouth's recent record on home turf is simply too good to overlook. We anticipate a fairly even contest with the home team narrowly emerging victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Charlton Athletic
46.73% ( -0.5)	25.03% ( 0.07)	28.23% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43% (

-0.01)

48.56% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.31% (

-0.01)

70.68% (

0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

-0.22)

20.81% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.51% (

-0.34)

53.48% (

0.34)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75% (

0.32)

31.25% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.4% (

0.37)

67.6% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 46.72%

Charlton Athletic 28.23%

Draw 25.03%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.72%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.23%