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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Port Vale |
52.5% ( -0.16) | 23.41% ( -0) | 24.09% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.2% ( 0.16) | 44.8% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.84% ( 0.16) | 67.16% ( -0.16) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( 0) | 17.06% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.78% ( 0) | 47.22% ( -0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.46% ( 0.22) | 32.54% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.93% ( 0.25) | 69.07% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 52.5% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |