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Championship header 2

League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Fleetwood Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Stockport (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in League Two

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

 The loss of top scorer Kristian Dennis could leave Carlisle without their shooting boots for the first few games of the season, while Fleetwood will not want a repeat of last season and endure an opening-day defeat. Therefore, we think the sides will approach this game with caution, and they will cancel each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
41.5% (-1.378 -1.38) 27.53% (0.203 0.2) 30.97% (1.172 1.17)
Both teams to score 48.24% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-0.355 -0.35)57.26% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9% (-0.282 -0.28)78.1% (0.28099999999999 0.28)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.896 -0.9)27.17% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-1.181 -1.18)62.57% (1.18 1.18)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (0.681 0.68)33.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (0.732 0.73)70.42% (-0.735 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 41.5%
    Fleetwood Town 30.97%
    Draw 27.52%
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.97%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Carlisle
Hiwula (69')
Maguire (6'), O'Neill (75'), Bolger (90')
Rodgers (105')
Miller (22'), Miller (101')
Devitt (71'), Liddle (85'), Grainger (95'), Miller (104'), Hope (116')
Nov 13, 2013 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Fleetwood
2-0
Carlisle
Ball (6'), Sarcevic (54')

Berrett (15')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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