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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
42.19% (![]() | 26.54% (![]() | 31.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% (![]() | 53.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% (![]() | 74.9% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% (![]() | 25.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.32% (![]() | 59.68% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% (![]() | 31.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% (![]() | 67.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9.1% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |