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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Carlisle United

Barnsley
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cole (58'), Kane (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (7')
Armstrong (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Carlisle United

Barnsley have so much quality in the forward positions, and we are expecting the home side to have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Cole and McAtee are full of goals, and we are backing at least one of the forwards to score in a home success in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
58.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 22.49% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)46.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)44.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.14% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 58.35%
    Carlisle United 19.16%
    Draw 22.49%
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.16%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Carlisle

Barnsley
97.0%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Barnsley
0-3
Carlisle

Styles (48'), Andersen (57'), Bahre (83')
McKirdy (24'), Bridge (58' pen.), Thomas (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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