League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 3Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Oxford United
Carlisle have plenty of new faces in the squad at the moment which should provide the team with additional quality to cause problems this weekend. However, bedding several new players in at once is no easy feat, which could be the advantage that Oxford need to take three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Oxford United |
37.76% ( -0.06) | 26.15% ( -0.02) | 36.1% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
