MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 17:35:06| >> :120:67469:67469:
Wrexham AFC
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Wigan logo

Wrexham
1 - 0
Wigan


Forde (45+4'), Palmer (68'), Barnett (75')
FT
(aet)

Smith (20'), Sze (45')
Wrexham win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wrexham and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We say: Wrexham 1-2 Wigan Athletic

With the league priority for Wrexham and Wigan, both sides could make changes for Tuesday's EFL Cup tie, but we still think that the Latics will have enough quality in their lineup to edge out the League Two side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
56.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.13%22.08% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.7% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)12.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.79%
    Wigan Athletic 22.08%
    Draw 21.13%
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 3.44%
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 22.08%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Wigan

Wrexham
48.8%
Draw
2.4%
Wigan Athletic
48.8%
41
rhs 2.0
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