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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Carlisle United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Carlisle

Harris (76')
Harris (39'), O'Donkor (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guy (51'), McCalmont (59'), Back (62'), Huntington (73'), Mellish (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Carlisle United

 Manning will feel that he and his Oxford side are under pressure to deliver in this game, whereas Carlisle can play with a certain level of freedom. Despite those contrasting mentalities, we are backing Oxford to edge this fixture, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCarlisle United
31.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 27.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 40.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.62% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)56.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)77.85% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)27.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.07% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 31.95%
    Carlisle United 40.53%
    Draw 27.52%
Oxford UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.53%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
0-2
Oxford Utd

Miller (66')
Maguire (4' pen.), Sercombe (74')
Maguire (18'), Wright (82')
Dec 12, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Carlisle
MacDonald (34')
Dunkley (45' og.)
Joyce (18')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Carlisle
Hoban (38'), Vassell (80')
Baldock (54')
Corry (9')
Acrhibald-Henville (66'), Buddle (77')
Acrhibald-Henville (68')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Oxford Utd
Beck (73'), Asamoah (89')
Marrow (50')
Hylton (45')
Nov 19, 2005 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Oxford Utd
Nadé (17'), Hawley (57')

Stirling (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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