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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Carlisle United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Carlisle

Harris (76')
Harris (39'), O'Donkor (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guy (51'), McCalmont (59'), Back (62'), Huntington (73'), Mellish (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Carlisle United

 Manning will feel that he and his Oxford side are under pressure to deliver in this game, whereas Carlisle can play with a certain level of freedom. Despite those contrasting mentalities, we are backing Oxford to edge this fixture, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCarlisle United
31.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 27.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 40.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.62% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)56.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)77.85% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)27.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.07% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 31.95%
    Carlisle United 40.53%
    Draw 27.52%
Oxford UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.53%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
0-2
Oxford Utd

Miller (66')
Maguire (4' pen.), Sercombe (74')
Maguire (18'), Wright (82')
Dec 12, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Carlisle
MacDonald (34')
Dunkley (45' og.)
Joyce (18')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Carlisle
Hoban (38'), Vassell (80')
Baldock (54')
Corry (9')
Acrhibald-Henville (66'), Buddle (77')
Acrhibald-Henville (68')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Oxford Utd
Beck (73'), Asamoah (89')
Marrow (50')
Hylton (45')
Nov 19, 2005 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Oxford Utd
Nadé (17'), Hawley (57')

Stirling (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


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