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League One
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League One | Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Derby
1 - 2
Charlton

Cashin (39')
Bradley (22'), Wildsmith (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
May (65' pen.), Anderson (80')
Gillesphey (82'), Aneke (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Derby County and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Derby
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Charlton Athletic

 Although Derby experienced a disappointing at the weekend, they have won seven of their last eight home games against Charlton, and we think that they will draw inspiration from that record to clinch a narrow victory in Tuesday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
63.84% (0.176 0.18) 19.85% (-0.055 -0.05) 16.31% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.71% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (0.033000000000001 0.03)62.06% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.21% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.79% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63% (0.122 0.12)37% (-0.117 -0.12)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.121 -0.12)37.48% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (-0.12 -0.12)74.27% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 63.84%
    Charlton Athletic 16.31%
    Draw 19.85%
Derby CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 63.84%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Derby vs Charlton

Derby County
70.8%
Draw
9.2%
Charlton Athletic
20.0%
65
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Charlton
0-1
Derby

Ramsay (70'), Kanu (82')
Mendez-Laing (31')
Adams (41'), Cashin (51'), Sibley (68'), Vickers (90+1'), Hourihane (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
2-0
Charlton
McGoldrick (9' pen.), Cashin (69')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Charlton
1-0
Derby
Taylor (62')
Sessegnon (73'), Morgan (76')

Mendez-Laing (51')
Dec 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Derby
2-1
Charlton
Knight (10', 77')
Holmes (87')
Bielik (17')
Taylor (83' pen.)
Sarr (39'), Gallagher (69'), Solly (80'), Pratley (81'), Dempsey (90')
> Match Report
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Charlton
3-0
Derby
Bonne (6'), Sarr (48'), Gallagher (67')
Forster-Caskey (65')

Waghorn (57'), Shinnie (64')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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