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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
28.83% ( -0.65) | 25.17% ( -0.17) | 46% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% ( 0.37) | 48.82% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% ( 0.33) | 70.92% ( -0.33) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( -0.28) | 30.94% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.33) | 67.24% ( 0.33) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% ( 0.52) | 21.25% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.84% ( 0.8) | 54.15% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |