Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.