Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.