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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Northampton Town

Lincoln
1 - 2
Northampton

Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Northampton Town

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table right now, and that should lead to a closely contested game on Friday night. With each team looking to get back to winning ways, it would not be a surprise to see them cancel each other out and play to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
40.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 32.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)56.76% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.7% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)27.48% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)62.97% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)32.75% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)69.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.5%
    Northampton Town 32.01%
    Draw 27.47%
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.01%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Northampton

Lincoln City
12.5%
Draw
75.0%
Northampton Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Northampton
2-2
Lincoln
Appere (86'), Hoskins (90+8')
Hoskins (80')
Hackett (22'), O'Connor (78')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
McGrandles (75'), Scully (84')
Bridcutt (77')
Rose (90+6')
Jones (36')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
0-4
Lincoln

Bolger (56')
Scully (2'), Hopper (42'), Johnson (83', 90+8')
Montsma (36'), Hopper (73'), Scully (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Lincoln
1-1
Northampton
Andrade (27')
Anderson (42')
Pierre (45')
Buchanan (13'), Goode (39'), Taylor (61'), Elsnik (67')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Lincoln
3-2
Northampton
Anderson (16'), Pett (52'), Andrade (90')
Shackell (45'), Akinde (71'), Green (94'), Pett (99')
Bridge (55'), Van Veen (81')
van Veen (27'), O'Toole (36'), Turnbull (67'), McWilliams (75')
Morias (99')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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