League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 2
Northampton

Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Northampton Town

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table right now, and that should lead to a closely contested game on Friday night. With each team looking to get back to winning ways, it would not be a surprise to see them cancel each other out and play to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Northampton Town
40.51% ( -0.01)	27.47% ( 0.01)	32.01% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.24% (

-0.05)

56.76% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

-0.04)

77.7% (

0.04)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

-0.03)

27.48% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

-0.04)

62.97% (

0.04)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25% (

-0.03)

32.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

-0.04)

69.31% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 40.5%

Northampton Town 32.01%

Draw 27.47%

Lincoln City	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.01%