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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Oxford United

Northampton
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Bowie (50'), Simpson (90+7')
Brough (66'), Simpson (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brannagan (62' pen.)
Brown (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Oxford United

 This could be a Christmas cracker with both teams scoring plenty of goals in recent weeks. Northampton's home form is strong, but Oxford clearly possess greater technical ability. As such, we do not think that either manager would be disappointed with gaining a point. Although this would not be enough to move Oxford into the automatic promotion positions, it would be a decent result to build on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawOxford United
34.55% (-0.061 -0.06) 25.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 39.98% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.84% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (0.061 0.06)48.01% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (0.053999999999998 0.05)70.18% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)62.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.063999999999993 0.06)23.76% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09)57.9% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 34.55%
    Oxford United 39.98%
    Draw 25.46%
Northampton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 34.55%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.57% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Northampton vs Oxford Utd

Northampton Town
41.9%
Draw
9.7%
Oxford United
48.4%
31
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
Dyche (76')
Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hoskins (55')
Hoskins (33')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Northampton
Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')

Holmes (44')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Henry (24')
Henry (26')
Van Veen (55'), Pierre (65')
Bowditch (26'), Pierre (26'), O'Toole (26'), Facey (29'), van Veen (32')
O'Toole (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-0
Oxford Utd
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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