League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
3 - 0
Northampton

Reid (2'), Roberts (42'), List (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sowerby (52')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Northampton Town

While Northampton have enjoyed the better of this fixture, their current struggles on the road form give Stevenage a slight edge in this one and we predict that Evans's men will come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
56.13% ( -0.04)	23.55% ( 0.01)	20.33% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.53% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

0.01)

49.56% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.41% (

0.01)

71.59% (

-0)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

-0.01)

17.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.03% (

-0.02)

47.97% (

0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

0.04)

38.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

0.03)

75.5% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 56.11%

Northampton Town 20.33%

Draw 23.54%

Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.54%	0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.33%