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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
42.05% (![]() | 25.7% (![]() | 32.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.42% (![]() | 49.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.39% (![]() | 71.6% (![]() |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% (![]() | 23.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% (![]() | 57.41% (![]() |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% (![]() | 28.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% (![]() | 64.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 9.84% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.05% | 1-1 @ 12.19% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.4% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |