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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Ipswich logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wildschut (34'), Brannagan (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davis (38')
Donacien (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich's most recent league win took place against Oxford on Boxing Day, and although we do not think it will be as one-sided as that 3-0 scoreline, we still believe that the Tractor Boys will draw upon that experience to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
23.85% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 24.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 52.01% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.131 0.13)48.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.121 0.12)70.29% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.155 0.16)34.57% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.166 0.17)71.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 23.85%
    Ipswich Town 52.01%
    Draw 24.12%
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.85%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.01%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Ipswich

Oxford United
30.8%
Draw
15.4%
Ipswich Town
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Ipswich
McNally (90+5')
Williams (90+2'), Sykes (90+6')
Celina (70')
Burns (56'), Bonne (90+4')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Oxford Utd

Kenlock (76')

Rodriguez (23'), Forde (48'), Winnall (90+4'), (90+5')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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