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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Oxford United

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Eastwood (40' og.), Taylor (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodrham (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Oxford United

Burton Albion will certainly be low on confidence after the recent thrashings they have suffered, and with the need to quickly bounce back to stay in the fight in the top half, we back Oxford United to take all three points away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
35.06% (0.07 0.07) 25.38% (0.026 0.03) 39.57% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.1 -0.1)47.56% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)69.77% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.36% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)23.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (-0.133 -0.13)57.93% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.06%
    Oxford United 39.57%
    Draw 25.38%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.06%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.57%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-1
Burton Albion
Baldock (7', 40'), Whyte (35'), Taylor (45')
Guedioura (45+2')
Saydee (29')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Oxford Utd
Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')
Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')
Aug 11, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Burton Albion
1-1
Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties
Mousinho (90+6' og.)
Holland (85')
Bodin (77')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Oxford Utd
4-0
Burton Albion
Shodipo (10'), Taylor (28'), Lee (57'), Winnall (90+2')

Mancienne (11'), Taylor (56'), Gilligan (72'), Carter (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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