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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Oxford United

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Eastwood (40' og.), Taylor (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodrham (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Oxford United

Burton Albion will certainly be low on confidence after the recent thrashings they have suffered, and with the need to quickly bounce back to stay in the fight in the top half, we back Oxford United to take all three points away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
35.06% (0.07 0.07) 25.38% (0.026 0.03) 39.57% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.1 -0.1)47.56% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)69.77% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.36% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)23.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (-0.133 -0.13)57.93% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.06%
    Oxford United 39.57%
    Draw 25.38%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.06%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.57%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-1
Burton Albion
Baldock (7', 40'), Whyte (35'), Taylor (45')
Guedioura (45+2')
Saydee (29')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Oxford Utd
Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')
Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')
Aug 11, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Burton Albion
1-1
Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties
Mousinho (90+6' og.)
Holland (85')
Bodin (77')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Oxford Utd
4-0
Burton Albion
Shodipo (10'), Taylor (28'), Lee (57'), Winnall (90+2')

Mancienne (11'), Taylor (56'), Gilligan (72'), Carter (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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