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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Exeter


Brown (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nombe (79')
Sparkes (84'), Stansfield (90+1'), Blackman (90+5'), Collins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Exeter City

 After both sides were involved in thrilling matches on Thursday, we can envisage more goals between these two teams on Sunday. The short turnaround is likely to cause some tired legs out there at Kassam Stadium, with both managers' usage of their respective benches potentially pivotal during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
58.45% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 21.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.9% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.06% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)41.64% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.054000000000002 0.05)34.82% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.056999999999999 0.06)71.56% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 58.45%
    Exeter City 19.9%
    Draw 21.64%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.45%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.9%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Exeter

Oxford United
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Exeter City
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
Hartridge (22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
 Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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