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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Exeter


Brown (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nombe (79')
Sparkes (84'), Stansfield (90+1'), Blackman (90+5'), Collins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Exeter City

 After both sides were involved in thrilling matches on Thursday, we can envisage more goals between these two teams on Sunday. The short turnaround is likely to cause some tired legs out there at Kassam Stadium, with both managers' usage of their respective benches potentially pivotal during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
58.45% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 21.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.9% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.06% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)41.64% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.054000000000002 0.05)34.82% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.056999999999999 0.06)71.56% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 58.45%
    Exeter City 19.9%
    Draw 21.64%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.45%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.9%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Exeter

Oxford United
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Exeter City
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
Hartridge (22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
 Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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