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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Exeter City |
58.45% ( -0.07) | 21.65% ( 0.02) | 19.9% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( 0.01) | 41.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( 0.01) | 64.35% ( -0) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.94% ( -0.02) | 14.06% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.36% ( -0.04) | 41.64% ( 0.04) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% ( 0.05) | 34.82% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% ( 0.06) | 71.56% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Exeter City |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.45% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |