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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Barnsley
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Norwood (64'), Cundy (86')
Williams (51'), Andersen (73'), Kane (84'), Norwood (86'), Jalo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muskwe (77' pen.)
Garner (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Barnsley and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Barnsley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Sheff Weds
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 Barnsley find themselves in fine form and will be keen to return to winning ways on Thursday after a slightly disappointing draw last time out. Given the difference in quality between the squads, and the confidence Duff's men will have, we can only envisage them taking all three points at Oakwell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
57.41% (-0.439 -0.44) 23.78% (0.07 0.07) 18.81% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.46% (0.416 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.22600000000001 0.23)52.42% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.194 0.19)74.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)18.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.03% (-0.134 -0.13)48.97% (0.137 0.14)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (0.564 0.56)42.09% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (0.484 0.48)78.51% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 57.4%
    Fleetwood Town 18.81%
    Draw 23.77%
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 57.4%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.093000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.81%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Fleetwood

Barnsley
81.5%
Draw
14.8%
Fleetwood Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Barnsley

Devlin (24')
Aitchison (90')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Barnsley
4-2
Fleetwood
Bahre (21'), Woodrow (34'), McGeehan (70'), Brown (79')
McGeehan (35'), Pinillos (42')
Evans (64'), Burns (77')
Wallace (58'), Coyle (58')
Souttar (65')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
1-3
Barnsley
Biggins (19')
Dempsey (76')
Brown (33'), Moore (41'), Thiam (93')
Brown (35'), Moncur (61'), Pinillos (65'), Moore (90')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Fleetwood
0-2
Barnsley

Davis (31')
Davis (47' og.), Scowen (84')
Winnall (31'), Fletcher (40'), Scowen (87')
Feb 4, 2016 7.45pm
Area Finals
Fleetwood
1-1
Barnsley
 Barnsley win 4-2 on penalties
Hunter (81')
Hourihane (67')
Brownhill (42')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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