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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Morecambe |
74.6% ( 1.02) | 16.32% ( -0.56) | 9.08% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 44.75% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% ( 1.15) | 41.7% ( -1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% ( 1.16) | 64.1% ( -1.15) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.41% ( 0.55) | 9.59% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.93% ( 1.27) | 32.07% ( -1.27) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.5% ( -0.2) | 50.5% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15% ( -0.14) | 85% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.3% Total : 74.6% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.32% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.99% Total : 9.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |