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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Morecambe |
74.6% ( 1.02) | 16.32% ( -0.56) | 9.08% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 44.75% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% ( 1.15) | 41.7% ( -1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% ( 1.16) | 64.1% ( -1.15) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.41% ( 0.55) | 9.59% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.93% ( 1.27) | 32.07% ( -1.27) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.5% ( -0.2) | 50.5% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15% ( -0.14) | 85% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.3% Total : 74.6% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.32% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.99% Total : 9.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |