League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hunter (87')
Major (4'), Simeu (67'), Crowley (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Browne (41')
Browne (45+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Oxford United

Both sides are in poor veins of form, and neither can afford to lose this crucial match, so we think both teams will play it safe. There is not a lot to split both sides, so we can see the spoils being shared in a tightly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Oxford United
28.59% ( 0.04)	24.59% ( -0.01)	46.82% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 56.16% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.58% (

0.06)

46.42% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

0.05)

68.7% (

-0.05)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12% (

0.06)

29.88% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

0.07)

65.97% (

-0.07)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

0.01)

19.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96% (

0.01)

52.04% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 28.59%

Oxford United 46.82%

Draw 24.58%

Morecambe	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 28.59%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.82%