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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Oxford United

Morecambe
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hunter (87')
Major (4'), Simeu (67'), Crowley (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Browne (41')
Browne (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Oxford United

Both sides are in poor veins of form, and neither can afford to lose this crucial match, so we think both teams will play it safe. There is not a lot to split both sides, so we can see the spoils being shared in a tightly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawOxford United
28.59% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 24.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 46.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (0.053000000000001 0.05)68.7% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.060999999999993 0.06)29.88% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.073 0.07)65.97% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (0.012 0.01)52.04% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.59%
    Oxford United 46.82%
    Draw 24.58%
MorecambeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Oxford Utd

Morecambe
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford United
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Morecambe
Joseph (56')
Rodriguez (89'), Brown (90+7')
Weir (48')
Stockton (51'), Fane (70'), Rawson (79'), Connolly (89+1')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Morecambe
Seddon (29'), Sykes (73'), Taylor (87')
Stockton (64')
Andersson (51')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-4
Oxford Utd
Molyneux (23'), Barkhuizen (91')
Ellison (45'), Edwards (90')
Miller (70')
Roofe (9'), Lundstram (71'), Hylton (74'), Bowery (80')
Mullins (37'), MacDonald (45')
Sep 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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