Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.