Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.