Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Accrington Stanley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 46 | 21 | 70 |
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 46 | 21 | 70 |
| 12 | Accrington Stanley | 46 | -19 | 61 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 46 | -4 | 59 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 59.5% | 22.08% | 18.42% |
| Both teams to score 51.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
