League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Long (90+1')
Porter (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hirst (3', 66'), Walker (31')
Thompson (27'), Robertson (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37
24	Crewe Alexandra	46	-46	29

Portsmouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73
10	Portsmouth	46	17	73
11	Ipswich Town	46	21	70

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-2 Portsmouth

After two positive results and given Crewe's poor run of form, Pompey are strong favourites for this encounter and should come away from the Mornflake Stadium with three points and a clean sheet. Cowley will need his side to continue this winning run and build momentum towards the back end of the campaign, as they have a lot of points to make up to break into the top six, while Crewe need to focus on beating the teams around them to get out of their situation at the bottom of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Portsmouth
18.5%	21.93%	59.56%

Both teams to score 52.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.7%

45.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.36%

67.64%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.73%

38.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97%

75.03%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.18%

14.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.88%

43.11%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 18.5%

Portsmouth 59.55%

Draw 21.93%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 5.45% 2-1 @ 5% 2-0 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.5%	1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.93%	0-1 @ 10.82% 0-2 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-4 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 3.02% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.2% 1-5 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.55%