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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
1 - 0
Charlton

Butterworth (58')
Benning (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sessegnon (5'), Inniss (72'), Aneke (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Charlton Athletic

While their head-to-head record does not make for strong reading, Port Vale are within touching distance of Charlton and will have the chance to jump ahead of them in the table. It is unlikely to happen this weekend, with the kamikaze Charlton best placed to take the win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
43.98% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 26.25%29.77% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.010000000000005 0.01)52.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)74.42% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-0.012 -0.01)58.07% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.024999999999991 0.02)32.31% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.029 0.03)68.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.98%
    Charlton Athletic 29.77%
    Draw 26.25%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.77%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
41.0%
Draw
23.1%
Charlton Athletic
35.9%
78
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham38278365263989
2Wrexham40239856322478
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe392112665362975
4Charlton AthleticCharlton402191055361972
5Stockport CountyStockport402011958362271
6Bolton WanderersBolton39196146157463
7Reading391711115550562
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield391871452391361
9Blackpool4015151062511160
10Leyton Orient391851655401559
11Barnsley40159165457-354
12Lincoln CityLincoln401411155446853
13Stevenage391310163542-749
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough39139176166-548
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham39139174449-548
16Exeter CityExeter39139174254-1248
17Mansfield TownMansfield39138184654-847
18Wigan AthleticWigan381111163438-444
19Northampton TownNorthampton401013173859-2143
20Bristol Rovers40126224165-2442
21Burton Albion39912184156-1539
22Crawley TownCrawley4099224775-2836
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge40711223965-2632
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3978243566-3129


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