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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
1 - 0
Charlton

Butterworth (58')
Benning (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sessegnon (5'), Inniss (72'), Aneke (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Charlton Athletic

While their head-to-head record does not make for strong reading, Port Vale are within touching distance of Charlton and will have the chance to jump ahead of them in the table. It is unlikely to happen this weekend, with the kamikaze Charlton best placed to take the win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
43.98% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 26.25%29.77% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.010000000000005 0.01)52.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)74.42% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-0.012 -0.01)58.07% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.024999999999991 0.02)32.31% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.029 0.03)68.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.98%
    Charlton Athletic 29.77%
    Draw 26.25%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.77%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
41.0%
Draw
23.1%
Charlton Athletic
35.9%
78
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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