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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
43.98% ( -0.03) | 26.25% | 29.77% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% ( 0.01) | 52.8% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% ( 0.01) | 74.42% ( -0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.01) | 23.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% ( -0.01) | 58.07% ( 0.01) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% ( 0.02) | 32.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.18% ( 0.03) | 68.82% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |