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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Port Vale

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Port Vale

Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
Henry (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Robinson (35'), Conlon (39'), Harrison (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Exeter
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Port Vale

 Port Vale have won or drawn four of the last five matches they have played away from home, while Oxford have lost four of the last five fixtures they have hosted at the Kassam Stadium. The Valiants have also scored in each of their last eight games in all competitions, so we think they will have enough to edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPort Vale
48.22% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 26.82% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79%49.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73%71.27%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)20.44% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)52.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (0.084999999999994 0.08)32.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.23% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 48.21%
    Port Vale 26.82%
    Draw 24.97%
Oxford UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Port Vale

Oxford United
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-0
Port Vale
Ruffles (14'), Maguire (82')

Streete (40')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Oxford Utd
Cicilia (54'), Taylor (59' pen.)
Mac-Intosch (26')
Dunkley (11'), Crowley (19')
Nelson (58'), Dunkley (65')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Port Vale
Smalley (76'), Potter (10')
Batt (42'), Parker (54'), Capaldi (90')
Loft (16')
Jones (54'), Myrie-Williams (81'), Loft (85')
Oct 15, 2012 7.45pm
Port Vale
3-0
Oxford Utd
Morsy (61'), Vincent (51'), Pope (30')
Burge (32'), Morsy (57')

Wright (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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