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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Exeter City

Port Vale
1 - 0
Exeter

Forrester (60')
Robinson (68'), Harrison (90'), Smith (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (28'), Harper (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Exeter City

 Both sides are finding wins hard to come by, and with just two points separating them in the league table, we think that a close-fought contest will result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
41.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 26.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 31.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.35% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)75.73% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)25.99% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)61.01% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.94% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 41.18%
    Exeter City 31.97%
    Draw 26.84%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Exeter

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Stansfield (8')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale
0-0
Exeter

Diabate (26')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Exeter
Robinson (2')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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