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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Exeter City

Port Vale
1 - 0
Exeter

Forrester (60')
Robinson (68'), Harrison (90'), Smith (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (28'), Harper (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Exeter City

 Both sides are finding wins hard to come by, and with just two points separating them in the league table, we think that a close-fought contest will result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
41.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 26.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 31.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.35% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)75.73% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)25.99% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)61.01% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.94% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 41.18%
    Exeter City 31.97%
    Draw 26.84%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Exeter

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Stansfield (8')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale
0-0
Exeter

Diabate (26')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Exeter
Robinson (2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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