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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
41.19% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() | 31.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.65% (![]() | 54.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.27% (![]() | 75.73% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% (![]() | 25.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.99% (![]() | 61.01% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% (![]() | 31.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.05% (![]() | 67.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |