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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
45.96% ( -0.46) | 25.58% ( 0.31) | 28.46% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 52.83% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.26% ( -1.21) | 50.74% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.36% ( -1.07) | 72.63% ( 1.08) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% ( -0.71) | 22.06% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.6% ( -1.08) | 55.4% ( 1.09) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% ( -0.52) | 32.21% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.3% ( -0.59) | 68.7% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |