League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
MK Dons

Coutts (18'), Finley (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Eisa (3' pen.), Dean (90+1')
Devoy (45+2'), Maghoma (68'), Johnson (76'), Leko (76'), Dean (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Morecambe 5-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol Rovers 3-2 MK Dons

While both sides have not been in the best of form, losing their last two matches in League One, Bristol Rovers should have enough about them to get their season back on track with three points. Given the Gas' poor defensive record, it is unlikely that they keep a clean sheet, but Collins's quality in front of goal gives them the edge in what is likely to be a free-scoring game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	MK Dons
45.96% ( -0.46)	25.58% ( 0.31)	28.46% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 52.83% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26% (

-1.21)

50.74% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36% (

-1.07)

72.63% (

1.08)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94% (

-0.71)

22.06% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.6% (

-1.08)

55.4% (

1.09)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

-0.52)

32.21% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

-0.59)

68.7% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 45.96%

MK Dons 28.46%

Draw 25.58%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.46%