League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 0
Port Vale

Major (51')
Bedeau (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Robinson (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Morecambe and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Morecambe 1-0 Port Vale

Despite losing to playoff contenders Peterborough last time out, Morecambe have been extremely tough to beat at home in recent months, and they will sense an opportunity to move outside of the bottom four on Tuesday. Port Vale have performed above expectations this season but Saturday's win against Exeter was their first victory since January 1, and they may be edged out in what is likely to be a tight game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Port Vale
28.02% ( -1.9)	25.07% ( -0.22)	46.91% ( 2.13)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

-0.07)

48.86% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

-0.06)

70.96% (

0.06)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.44% (

-1.42)

31.56% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04% (

-1.66)

67.96% (

1.67)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

0.92)

20.86% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.44% (

1.42)

53.56% (

-1.42)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 28.02%

Port Vale 46.91%

Draw 25.07%

Morecambe	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.02%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.91%