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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Oxford United

Port Vale
0 - 2
Oxford Utd


Lowe (20'), Clark (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (16'), Murphy (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

Although Oxford may be favourites due to their current league position, they have struggled to enjoy success in their recent away matches, and with that in mind, we think that the U's will be held to a point in Saturday's clash at Vale Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
42.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.32% (0.00099999999999767 0) 32.21%
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.88%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.48%
    Oxford United 32.21%
    Draw 25.31%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Oxford Utd

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Oxford Utd
1-2
Port Vale
Leigh (90+3')
Leigh (20'), Stevens (90+8')
Harris (62'), Leigh (90+5')
Iacovitti (74'), Devine (90+9' pen.)
Ojo (14'), Massey (62')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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