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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Oxford United |
42.48% ( -0) | 25.32% ( 0) | 32.21% |
Both teams to score 55.66% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.06% ( -0) | 47.94% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.88% ( -0) | 70.12% ( 0) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( -0) | 22.5% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% ( -0) | 56.06% ( 0) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% ( -0) | 28.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.12% ( -0) | 63.88% |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |