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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Oxford United

Port Vale
0 - 2
Oxford Utd


Lowe (20'), Clark (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (16'), Murphy (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

Although Oxford may be favourites due to their current league position, they have struggled to enjoy success in their recent away matches, and with that in mind, we think that the U's will be held to a point in Saturday's clash at Vale Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
42.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.32% (0.00099999999999767 0) 32.21%
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.88%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.48%
    Oxford United 32.21%
    Draw 25.31%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Oxford Utd

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Oxford Utd
1-2
Port Vale
Leigh (90+3')
Leigh (20'), Stevens (90+8')
Harris (62'), Leigh (90+5')
Iacovitti (74'), Devine (90+9' pen.)
Ojo (14'), Massey (62')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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