League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Northampton Town
Garry Monk will hope to have an immediate impact on a Cambridge United side desperate for points, but they face a tough test against a wounded Northampton Town team who have enjoyed a strong campaign thus far.
We cannot quite pick a winner in Saturday's meeting at the Abbey Stadium and see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 47.71% . A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.26%) . The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Cambridge United Draw Northampton Town 47.71% ( 0.85) 24.97% ( -0.2) 27.32% ( -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.18)
51.12% ( 0.46) 48.88% ( -0.45)
29.02% ( 0.41) 70.98% ( -0.41)
79.47% ( 0.55) 20.53% ( -0.55)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.97% ( 0.86) 53.03% ( -0.86)
67.89% ( -0.25) 32.11% ( 0.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.42% ( -0.28) 68.58% ( 0.29)
Cambridge United 47.7%
Northampton Town 27.32%
Draw 24.97%
Cambridge United Draw Northampton Town 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.7% 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.97% 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.32%
How you voted: Cambridge vs Northampton
Cambridge United
Draw
Northampton Town
7
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-06 15:09:05
Saturday, July 6
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