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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Exeter City

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Exeter

Broom (6'), Wiredu (32'), Patterson (42')
Omochere (66'), Broom (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wildschut (65'), Diabate (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 4-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Exeter City

 Fleetwood are gaining momentum under Lee Johnson having seemingly turned a corner, while Exeter are devoid of any confidence given their poor recent run, and we envisage the hosts coming out on top this weekend and closing the gap between the two sides with differing trajectories to just a single point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
46.29% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38) 24.67% (0.121 0.12) 29.04% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-0.389 -0.39)46.53% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (-0.366 -0.37)68.8% (0.36200000000001 0.36)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-0.319 -0.32)20.18% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-0.514 -0.51)52.48% (0.511 0.51)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)29.61% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 46.29%
    Exeter City 29.04%
    Draw 24.66%
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Fleetwood
2-2
Exeter
Marriott (18', 35')
McDonald (28'), Sweeney (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
2-1
Fleetwood
Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
Mendes Gomes (28')
> Preview
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-0
Fleetwood
Parkin (25' og.), Richards (62', 65')

Sarcevic (45')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Exeter
Blair (71')
Brown (35')
Bennett (76', 79')
Sercombe (25'), Davies (90')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Exeter
Matt (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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