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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
35.06% ( -0.17) | 24.28% ( -0.07) | 40.66% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 60.15% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.53% ( 0.28) | 42.46% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.13% ( 0.28) | 64.86% ( -0.29) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.14% ( 0.03) | 23.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.95% ( 0.05) | 58.04% ( -0.06) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.99% ( 0.23) | 21% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.22% ( 0.36) | 53.77% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |