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[monks data]
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 12
Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
AFC Wimbledon

MK Dons
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

O'Riley (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: MK Dons vs. AFC Wimbledon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Rivals MK Dons and AFC Wimbledon lock horns on Tuesday evening with the clubs facing different priorities in the League One standings.

While the home side are three points adrift of the playoffs, the visitors sit just two points clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

MK Dons manager Liam Manning celebrates after the game on October 19, 2021© Reuters

MK Dons and AFC Wimbledon will be meeting for just the 12th time on Tuesday evening, the home team having prevailed in seven of the previous 11 games.

They are also on a six-game unbeaten streak against Wimbledon, but boss Liam Manning will be conscious of the fact that his team are not firing on all cylinders.

Just six points have come from a possible 15 in League One, their solitary victory during that period seeing them overturn a two-goal deficit to win at Lincoln City.

MK Dons have offered very little since that encounter on Boxing Day, and a 1-1 draw at Accrington Stanley was a disappointment given that their hosts played the final 56 minutes with 10 men.

Scott Twine remains as the club's standout player this season with the versatile playmaker contributing five goals and six assists from his last eight appearances in the third tier.

AFC Wimbledon had a welcome weekend away from league action on Saturday as they squared off against non-league Boreham Wood in the FA Cup.

However, it was a disastrous afternoon for Mark Robinson's side, who went down 2-0 to the National League outfit to bow out of the competition.

The Dons' five-match unbeaten streak up until December 11 had suggested that they had turned a corner this season, but they have been well off the pace in the two games since their return to action.

Although they still sit clear of the bottom four with matches in hand, Robinson is aware that that his team must take advantage of their upcoming schedule if they want to avoid dropping into the relegation zone.

MK Dons League One form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

MK Dons form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

AFC Wimbledon League One form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

AFC Wimbledon form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Wolverhampton Wanderers loanee Theo Corbeanu should feature in the MK Dons squad after making the switch from Sheffield Wednesday.

Josh McEachran is in line to replace David Kasumu, who needed to be replaced just before the half-time whistle at Accrington.

Tennai Watson and Hiram Boateng are both options for Manning if he decides to introduce fresh legs.

Robinson will almost certainly make several alterations to his Wimbledon XI, including handing a recall to Will Nightingale.

Cheye Alexander may return at right wing-back, while Adedapo Awokoya-Mebude is an alternative in the front two.

MK Dons possible starting lineup:
Fisher; O'Hara, Darling, Lewington; Kioso, O'Riley, Kasumu, Harvie; Corbeanu, Eisa, Twine

AFC Wimbledon possible starting lineup:
Tzanev; Nightingale, Heneghan, Guinness-Walker; Alexander, Woodyard, Hartigan, Rudoni; McCormick; Awokoya-Mebude, Palmer


SM words green background

We say: MK Dons 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

Despite their contrasting scenarios, these two sides have produced similar form of late. With that in mind, and the hostility between the clubs, we expect a competitive draw to play out in Milton Keynes.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: MK Dons vs AFC Wimbledon

MK Dons
70.5%
Draw
22.7%
AFC Wimbledon
6.8%
44
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