League Two

League Two | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Wrexham

Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Coventry
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Wigan (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon put in a spirited performance when they managed to defeat Championship promotion hopefuls Coventry on Wednesday night, which should give them confidence heading into a tough game. However, despite their opening day defeat, Wrexham should have enough quality to get their first league win on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Wrexham
26.73% ( 0.18)	25.4% ( 0.02)	47.87% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 52.14% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.95% (

0.03)

51.05% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09% (

0.03)

72.91% (

-0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

0.16)

33.72% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

0.17)

70.37% (

-0.16)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-0.07)

21.34% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

-0.12)

54.3% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 26.73%

Wrexham 47.86%

Draw 25.4%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.73%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.86%