League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 1pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Bradford

Thompson (55')
Hume (37'), Andrews (85'), Rodgers (90+2')
Hume (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Smallwood (90+3' pen.)
Oyegoke (53'), Kavanagh (56'), Platt (67'), Wright (80'), Kelly (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Grimsby Town
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bradford City

All competitions

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Tranmere
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Grimsby Town 0-1 Bradford City

Grimsby have failed to beat Bradford City in any of the last 20 meetings between the two, with their last victory coming as a 2-0 home victory in October 1998, and we expect that long barren spell to continue. Bradford comfortably won 2-0 in their last outing against Tranmere Rovers, and we expect them to build on that victory with another three points at Blundell Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Bradford City
26% ( 0.67)	23.44% ( 0.34)	50.56% ( -1)

Both teams to score 57.87% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.81% (

-0.94)

43.19% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.41% (

-0.93)

65.59% (

0.94)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

0.03)

30.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

0.03)

66.27% (

-0.03)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

-0.71)

17.18% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.57% (

-1.27)

47.44% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 26%

Bradford City 50.56%

Draw 23.44%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Bradford City
2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 26%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.56%