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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bristol Rovers

Carlisle
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both teams head into this match in vastly different league positions, but they are in great form, picking up results on a regular basis, while they have defended well. They have each been picking up clean sheets as of late, and that could lead to this match being quite a closely-contested one that the visitors will likely just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
30.11%26.74%43.14%
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42%54.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44%69.56%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.11%
    Bristol Rovers 43.13%
    Draw 26.74%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.13%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers

Carlisle United
33.3%
Draw
22.9%
Bristol Rovers
43.8%
48
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Carlisle
Evans (35'), Nicholson (86'), Saunders (90+4')
Harries (23'), Saunders (76'), Thomas (88'), Whelan (90')

Feeney (16'), Devine (26'), Alessandra (38'), Armer (60'), Guy (61'), Mellish (74')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Stacey (11'), Wyke (49'), Kennedy (85')
Miller (74'), Ibehre (90'), Ellis (90')
Bodin (27'), Taylor (57')
Parkes (51'), Lines (72')
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Carlisle
4-0
Bristol Rovers
Cooper (73'), Berrett (44' pen., 82' pen.), Curran (57')
Thirlwell (41')

Sawyer (7')
Coles (51')
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Carlisle
Lines (48')
Campbell (39'), Sawyer (90'), Hughes (90')
Grella (87')
Berrett (30'), Taiwo (47'), Michalik (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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