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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
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Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 30, 2021 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Crawley Town

Carlisle
2 - 0
Crawley

Riley (17'), Patrick (33')
Guy (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McNerney (66'), Craig (81')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrawley Town
40.31%27.29%32.4%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03%55.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93%77.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36%62.63%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92%32.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45%68.55%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.31%
    Crawley Town 32.4%
    Draw 27.28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head
Nov 21, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Crawley
0-3
Carlisle

Sesay (80')
Bennett (43'), Kayode (55'), Hayden (62')
Guy (78')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crawley
0-0
Carlisle
Webster (35'), Anderton (66'), Hayden (85')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
2-1
Crawley
McKirdy (6'), Scougall (32')
Webster (46'), Loft (94')
Lubula (16')
Camara (38'), Sesay (43')
Young (97')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Carlisle
4-2
Crawley
Thomas (7', 9'), O'Hare (20'), Hope (31')
Nathaniel-George (44'), Gerrard (77' og.)
McNerney (21'), Dallison (93')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
2-3
Carlisle
Poleon (8', 40')
Francomb (37'), Payne (57'), McNerney (62')
Yates (14'), Grainger (37' pen.), Sowerby (56')
Yates (12')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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