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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
57.1% ( 0.02) | 21.95% | 20.95% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.66% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.12% ( -0.02) | 41.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.71% ( -0.02) | 64.29% ( 0.03) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.54% ( 0) | 14.46% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.57% | 42.43% ( 0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.25% ( -0.03) | 33.75% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.59% ( -0.04) | 70.41% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 57.1% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |