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Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Gillingham

Colchester
0 - 1
Gillingham


Iandolo (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Malone (54')
Bonne (80'), Lapslie (90'), Malone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-3 Colchester
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Gillingham

 This match promises to be a tight and tense affair, with both sides desperate to get their 2024 off to a bright start. Colchester's home advantage and potentially better conversion might give them a chance in the match, but Gillingham's defensive resilience and ability to create a lot of chances might see them edge this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
39.71% (0.113 0.11) 26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 34.29% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.4% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)72.34% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.97% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.098999999999997 0.1)59.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)28.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)63.73% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 39.71%
    Gillingham 34.29%
    Draw 26%
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Gillingham
0-3
Colchester

Malone (35'), Williams (41')
Coleman (86')
Kelleher (64'), Tovide (77'), Ihionvien (82')
Taylor (18'), Egbo (33'), Tchamadeu (40'), Ihionvien (83')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Colchester
0-2
Gillingham
Tutonda (36'), Nichols (45+3')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Gillingham
0-1
Colchester
Tchamadeu (26')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
1-1
Colchester
 Gillingham win 5-4 on penalties
Walker (43')
Akinde (45')
Sep 7, 2021 7.30pm
Group Stage
Colchester
0-1
Gillingham

Kennedy (53')
McKenzie (90+3')
Lintott (38'), O'Keefe (44'), MacDonald (50')
> Preview
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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