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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
44.5% ( -0.18) | 28% ( -0.02) | 27.49% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 45.22% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.76% ( 0.15) | 60.24% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( 0.11) | 80.42% ( -0.11) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( -0.02) | 26.97% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% ( -0.03) | 62.31% ( 0.03) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.93% ( 0.24) | 38.07% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.16% ( 0.23) | 74.84% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |