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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Crawley Town |
42.02% ( -0.2) | 25.43% ( 0.11) | 32.55% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.69% ( -0.46) | 48.31% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% ( -0.42) | 70.46% ( 0.42) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( -0.3) | 22.88% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% ( -0.44) | 56.62% ( 0.44) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( -0.17) | 28.14% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.18% ( -0.21) | 63.82% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |