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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crawley Town

Gillingham
0 - 2
Crawley


Ehmer (12'), Malone (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wright (24'), Roles (71')
Wright (24'), Darcy (45+3'), Maguire (63'), Campbell (73'), Adeyemo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Crawley Town

Goals have been hard to come by in this fixture of late, and we can see Tuesday's clash following suit. That said, we are backing Gillingham to get the better of their visitors and carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
42.02% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.43% (0.111 0.11) 32.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)48.31% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.418 -0.42)70.46% (0.417 0.42)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.298 -0.3)22.88% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.44 -0.44)56.62% (0.439 0.44)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)28.14% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.212 -0.21)63.82% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 42.02%
    Crawley Town 32.55%
    Draw 25.43%
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.55%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crawley

Gillingham
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
0-1
Gillingham

Kelly (53'), Darcy (90+6'), Addai (90+6')
Ransom (40' og.)
Ogie (3'), Alexander (90+3'), Malone (90+4')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
First Round
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
Coyle (41'), Oliver (50')
Woods (67')
Ferguson (78')
McNerney (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
FT
Seahawks
29-42
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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