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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Notts County

Crawley
2 - 1
Notts County

Lolas (79'), Adeyemo (84')
Gordon (12'), Mukena (49'), Forster (54'), Lolas (73'), Maguire (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Austin (20')
Slocombe (30'), O'Brien (51'), Robertson (66')
Robertson (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
41.65% (0.451 0.45) 21.91% (0.281 0.28) 36.44% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Both teams to score 69.52% (-1.251 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.62% (-1.565 -1.57)30.38% (1.572 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.35% (-1.899 -1.9)51.65% (1.906 1.91)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.471 -0.47)15.55% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.892 -0.89)44.49% (0.899 0.9)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-1.01 -1.01)17.68% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (-1.784 -1.78)48.32% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.65%
    Notts County 36.44%
    Draw 21.91%
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.364 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 4%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.237 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.263 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.44%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
McGoldrick (20'), O'Brien (61'), Morias (70')
Macarai (58')
Campbell (10')
Orsi (34'), Lindsey (35'), Maguire (60'), Campbell (73')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Notts County
3-2
Crawley
Crowley (13'), McGoldrick (58'), Langstaff (76')
O'Brien (57'), Nemane (61'), Baldwin (70'), Tipton (90+6')
Orsi (3', 66')
Kelly (68')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
1-1
Notts County
Nathaniel-George (19')
Mackail-Smith (8')
Milsom (45')
Barclay (54')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
Hemmings (9'), Stead (33'), Thomas (87')
Ward (89')
Milsom (66')
Poleon (90')
Payne (61'), Vincelot (85'), Palmer (90')
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Smith (25'), Payne (90' pen.)
Verheydt (37'), Lelan (49')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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