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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Notts County

Crawley
2 - 1
Notts County

Lolas (79'), Adeyemo (84')
Gordon (12'), Mukena (49'), Forster (54'), Lolas (73'), Maguire (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Austin (20')
Slocombe (30'), O'Brien (51'), Robertson (66')
Robertson (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
41.65% (0.451 0.45) 21.91% (0.281 0.28) 36.44% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Both teams to score 69.52% (-1.251 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.62% (-1.565 -1.57)30.38% (1.572 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.35% (-1.899 -1.9)51.65% (1.906 1.91)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.471 -0.47)15.55% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.892 -0.89)44.49% (0.899 0.9)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-1.01 -1.01)17.68% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (-1.784 -1.78)48.32% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.65%
    Notts County 36.44%
    Draw 21.91%
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.364 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 4%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.237 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.263 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.44%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
McGoldrick (20'), O'Brien (61'), Morias (70')
Macarai (58')
Campbell (10')
Orsi (34'), Lindsey (35'), Maguire (60'), Campbell (73')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Notts County
3-2
Crawley
Crowley (13'), McGoldrick (58'), Langstaff (76')
O'Brien (57'), Nemane (61'), Baldwin (70'), Tipton (90+6')
Orsi (3', 66')
Kelly (68')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
1-1
Notts County
Nathaniel-George (19')
Mackail-Smith (8')
Milsom (45')
Barclay (54')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
Hemmings (9'), Stead (33'), Thomas (87')
Ward (89')
Milsom (66')
Poleon (90')
Payne (61'), Vincelot (85'), Palmer (90')
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Smith (25'), Payne (90' pen.)
Verheydt (37'), Lelan (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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